Economics
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in December?
62%
Yes
No stands at 38%
Weather, fuel prices and game results move your revenue, and none of them are in your control. Ondessi structures trades on Kalshi around the risks inside your revenue, on a platform built for your industry. The result is a season you can plan around, and a record your lender can read.
Illustrative plan. The figures are an example, not a quote.
Designed by us, approved by you. Nothing is placed until you approve the plan, at the limits written in it.
if the home team misses the playoffs. If the team makes the run instead, the plan pays $0 and the bar keeps the playoff revenue the plan was built to protect.
Markets shown are illustrative concepts, not live markets.
Playoff runs and weather move game-day revenue. Plans are sized to the fixed costs a slow month still charges you: rent, core payroll, the loan payment.
Diesel prices and winter storms reach your margin before they reach your customers. Plans are built around your fuel bill and the lanes you run.
Rain and shutdown weeks idle crews you still pay for. Where a contract market does not fit, cover is placed as a parametric policy through licensed carrier partners.
Predictability is the product. The plan is how it gets documented.
You describe the stretch that hurts: the slow months, the fuel spike, the rained-out weeks, the early playoff exit.
We structure trades on Kalshi around that risk and write the plan in plain sentences: what pays, what it costs, and what it does not cover.
Every contract, the cost, and our fee are itemized before you approve. Orders go into your own Kalshi account, at the limits you approved.
We watch the trigger as forecasts and standings change, and we report what settled and why. Payouts land in your account. We never hold your money.
Event contracts are not insurance, and a plan does not guarantee an outcome. Some risks fit a contract market, and others fit a parametric policy placed through licensed carrier partners. We tell you which lane your risk belongs in before you pay anything.
Our fee is set when the plan is built and charged when the plan is placed. It is the same whether the plan pays out or not, and we never take a share of a payout.
Trades are placed in your own Kalshi account, under your name. We cannot move your funds, and payouts settle there.
A plan is a document you can read in a minute: the event, the contracts, the cost, our fee, and what is not covered. You sign off before anything is placed.
No. A plan built on Kalshi uses event contracts. Event contracts are not insurance, and a plan does not guarantee an outcome. For risks that fit insurance better, we place parametric cover through licensed carrier partners, and we tell you which lane your risk is in before you commit.
A plan starts from a cost your business already carries, such as rent, core payroll, or a loan payment. It is sized to that cost, and it pays when the event that hurts your revenue happens. The point is a season you can plan around.
No. Trades are placed in your own Kalshi account, and payouts land there too. Our fee is charged separately, at placement.
One fee, set when your plan is built and charged when the plan is placed. The fee does not depend on the outcome, and we never take a share of a payout.
Tell us what a bad season looks like for your business. We will show you the plan we would build, in plain English, before you pay anything.